The Influence of Taxation on Consumer Burden in Malaysia: A Revisit on GST
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14738/assrj.119.2.17400Keywords:
GST, Consumer burden, Taxation, Government policyAbstract
The implementation of Goods and Services Tax (GST) in Malaysia for a short period (2015 to 2018) remarked a significant tax reform in the country. However, despite successful GST implementation in various countries, Malaysians were still skeptical of the policy leading to its cancellation. Therefore, the inquiry of such a relationship becomes crucial to affirm whether taxation has a significant impact on consumers' burden in both the short and long term. The study uses quarterly secondary data from 1996-2016 by analysing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Error Correction Model (ARDL-ECM) estimation and combined cointegration test to testify the cointegration effects on the variables. The Toda and Yamamoto Granger causality analysis is also employed to identify the direction of causality among the variables. The result from this study provides evidence on the existence of a long run relationship between taxation and consumer burden via direct taxation proxy. Nevertheless, the study failed to establish a short run association between taxation and consumers’ burden. The study revealed that indirect tax does not lead to consumer burden, hence suggesting that GST might be an effective policy in increasing government’s revenue without pressuring the public. However, direct tax policy might need to be revisited as it leads to an increase in consumers' burden in the long run. Notwithstanding, the government shall be more careful and sensitive in formulating future tax reforms or introducing new policies to ensure consumers will not be negatively affected.
References
Teoh, P.Y. and F. Adilla, Malaysia's national debt now at RM1.5 trillion, or over 80pct of GDP. New Straits Times, 2023, [Online]. Retrieved at https://www.nst.com.my/business/2023/01/870946/malaysiasnational-debt-now-rm15-trillion-or-over-80pct-gdp, accessed on 27 May 2024.
Santhariah, A., Goods and services tax is not the reason for price increases in Malaysia. Accountants Today, 2021, [Online]. Retrieved at https://www.at-mia.my/2021/07/21/goods-and-services-tax-is-not-thereason-for-price-increases-in-malaysia/
World Bank, World development report, 1988, New York: Oxford University Press for the World Bank.
OECD, Consumption tax trends 2020: VAT/GST and excise rates, trends and policy issues, 2020, Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/152def2d-en.
Ufier, A., Quasi-experimental analysis on the effects of adoption of a value added tax. Economic Inquiry, 2014. 52(4): pp. 1364-1379. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12099
Cnossen, S., Global trends and issues in value added taxation. International Tax and Public Finance, 1998. 5(3): pp. 399–428. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008694529567
Kapur, V., VAT may come to the UAE in 2014: What will it mean for you? Emirates 24/7, 2012 November 27, [Online]. Retrieved at http://www.emirates247.com/business/economy-finance/vat-may-come-to-theuae-in-2014-what-will-it-mean-for-you-2012-11-27-1.484922
Sidhu, J.S., Analysts say food inflation still a big problem for many households. The Star, 2017 December 16, [Online]. Retrieved at https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business news/2017/12/16/analysts-sayfood-inflation-still-a-big-problem-for-many-households/#6PlLQZF2KWCd0mFi.99
Mallow, M.S., Budget must reduce burden of rising costs. The Star, 2016 September 21, [Online]. Retrieved at https://www.thestar.com.my/opinion/letters/2016/09/21/budget-must-reduce-burden-of-risingcosts/#rhM9mkYimWb71SYE.99
Palil, M.R. and M.A. Ibrahim, The impacts of Good and Service Tax (GST) on middle income earners in Malaysia. World Review of Business Research, 2011. 1(3): pp. 192-206. 10
Mansor, N.H.A. and A. Ilias, Good and Service Tax (GST): A new tax reform in Malaysia. International Journal of Economics Business and Management Studies, 2013. 2(1): pp. 12-19.
Bhalla, N., R.K. Sharma, and I. Kaur, Effect of goods and service tax system on business performance of micro, small and medium enterprises. Sage Open, 2023. 13(2): pp. 1-17.
Dyreng, S., F.B. Gaertner, J.L. Hoopes, and M. Vernon, The effect of U.S. tax reform on the tax burdens of U.S. domestic and multinational corporations (Working Paper), 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3620102
Gale, W.G. and A.A. Samwick, Effects of income tax changes on economic growth. Economic Studies at Brookings, 2014. 11: pp. 1–14
Ngwaba, C.A. and S. Azizi, Effectiveness of tax reform on entrepreneurship. Journal of Entrepreneurship and Public Policy, 2019. 9(1): pp. 94–111. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEPP-07-2019-0060
Vegh, C.A. and G. Vuletin, how is tax policy conducted over the business cycle? American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2015. 7(3): pp. 327–370. https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20120218
Browning, E.K., The burden of taxation. Journal of Political Economy, 1978. 86(4): pp. 649-671.
Warren, N., A. Harding, M. Robinson, S. Lambert, and G. Beer, Distributional impact of possible tax reform packages. Report to Senate Select Committee on a New Tax System, National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM), 1999, Canberra: University of Canberra.
Johnson, D.T., J. Freebairn, and R. Scutella, Evaluation of the government’s tax package. Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, 1999, Melbourne: University of Melbourn.
Valadkhani, A. and A.P. Layton, Quantifying the effects of GST on inflation in Australia’s capital cities: An intervention analysis. Australian Economic Review, 2004. 37(2): pp. 125-138.
Valadkhani, A., Goods and services tax effects on goods and services included in the Consumer Price Index Basket, The Economic Record, 2015, 81:255, pp. 104-114.
Gautier, E. and A. Lalliard, How do VAT changes affect inflation in France? Banque de France - Quarterly Selection of Articles, 2014. 32: pp. 5-27.
Commonwealth Treasury, Budget Speech 2000–01. Second Reading of the Appropriation Bill (no. 1) 2000–01, 2000 May 9, Canberra: The Commonwealth of Australia.
Queensland Treasury, CPI exclusive of GST effects: June Quarter 2001 (a briefing note), 2001, Brisbane: Office of Economic and Statistical Research, Queensland Treasury.
New South Wales Treasury, 2000–01 Half Yearly Budget Review, 2001, Sydney: New South Wales Treasury.
Kusumanto, B., Incidence of value-added tax in Indonesia: A general equilibrium analysis (Doctoral dissertation), 1989, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
Gabriel, P. and A. Reiff, Price setting in Hungary - A store level analysis. Managerial and Decision Economics, (2010). 31(2/3): pp. 161–176.
Benkovskis, K. and L. Fadejeva, The effect of VAT rate on inflation in Latvia: Evidence from CPI microdata. Applied Economics, 2014. 46(21): pp. 2520–2533. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2014.904492 11
Murrell, D. and W. Yu, The effect of the Harmonized Sales Tax on consumer prices in Atlantic Canada. Canadian Public Policy – Analyse De Politiques, 2000. 26(4): pp. 451-460.
Gelardi, A.M.G., Value added tax and inflation: A graphical and statistical analysis. Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting, 2014. 6(1): pp. 138-158. https://doi.org/10.5296/ajfa.v6i1.5065
Karadag, M. and T. Westaway, The impact on consumer and producer prices in Turkey of VAT changes designed to meet EU membership criteria: A computable general equilibrium approach. Economic Research Paper No. 99/19, 1999, Loughborough University.
Freebairn, J.W., Issues in measuring the price effects of proposed tax reforms. Quarterly Bulletin of Economic Trends, 1999. 4(99): pp. 41-53.
Thomson Reuter DataStream, Computer software. (2022).
Roscoe, J.T., Fundamental Research Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences. 2nd edition, 1975, New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston.
Adu, G. and G. Marbuah, Determinants of inflation in Ghana: An empirical investigation. South African Journal of Economics, 2011. 79(3): pp. 251-269. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1813-6982.2011.01273.x
Ahmed, Q.M., S.D. Muhammad, M. Noman, and G.R. Lakhan, Determinants of recent inflation in Pakistan: Revisit. Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences, 2014. 8(1): pp. 170- 184.
Baltar, C.T., Inflation and economic growth in an open developing country: The case of Brazil. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 2015. 39(5): pp. 1263–1280. https://doi.org/10.1093/cje/beu073
Cheng, M.Y. and H.-B. Tan, Inflation in Malaysia. International Journal of Social Economics, 2002. 29(5): pp. 411-425. https://doi.org/10.1108/03068290210423532
Dreger, C. and Y. Zhang, Inflation in China increasingly driven by domestic factors. National Institute Economic Review, 2013. 223(1): pp. 35-38. https://doi.org/10.1177/002795011322300104
Nguyen, H.M., T. Cavoli, and J.K. Wilson, The determinants of inflation in Vietnam, 2001-09. ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 2012. 29(1): pp. 1-14.
Qin, D. and X. He, Globalisation effect on inflation in the great moderation era – Evidence from G10 countries. Economics E-Journal, 2013. 7: pp. 1-32. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1917100
Valadkhani, A., Switching impacts of the output gap on inflation: Evidence from Canada, the UK and the US. International Review of Economics & Finance, 2014. 33: pp. 270-285. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2014.06.001
Fricke, H. and B. Sussmuth, Growth and volatility of tax revenues in Latin America. World Development, 2014. 54: pp. 114–138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.07.007
Taha, R., N. Loganathan, and M.N. Sukemi, Towards economic growth in a developing country: The impact of taxation and financial system. Journal of Global Business and Economics, 2013. 6(1): pp. 88-99.
Pesaran, M.H., Y. Shin, and R.J. Smith, Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2001. 16(3): pp. 289-326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
Radnia, K., The relationship between inflation rate, oil revenue and taxation in Iran: Based OLS methodology. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 2013. 4(19): pp. 131-146. 12
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Siti Nurhazwani Kamarudin, Norsiah Ahmad, Nanthakumar Loganathan

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
