Youth Unemployment and Macroeconomic Determinants in Malaysia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14738/assrj.112.2.16398Keywords:
Youth Unemployment, Ordinary Least Square, Multiple Linear Regression, Macroeconomics Determinants, MalaysiaAbstract
As youth unemployment has been gradually increasing over the years, it is crucial to investigate which economic indicators that significantly contributed in affecting the Malaysia’s youth unemployment rate. In this study, 30 annual data observations from 1991 until 2020 were used to investigate the empirical relationship between youth unemployment rate (YUR) and gross domestic product (GDP), foreign direct investment (FDI), inflation rate (INFR), gross domestic savings (GDS) and trade (TRD) through multiple linear regression analysis using the ordinary least square method. It is hypothesised that these selected macroeconomic determinants have an effect in influencing the Malaysia’s unemployment amongst youth. The results showed that there is positive significant relationship between youth unemployment rate and trade. Whereas, negative significant relationship was found between youth unemployment rate and the GDP as well as GDS. In contrary, there is no significant relationship exists between YUR with FDI and inflation rate.
References
Ali, M. S., & Almula-dhanoon, M. (2021). Determinants of youth unemployment in Arab countries. Iraqi Academic Scientific Journals.
Anjum, N., & Perviz, Z. (2016). Effect of trade openness on unemployment in case of labour and capital abundant countries. Bulletin of Business and Economics, 5(1), 44–58.
Anyanwu, J. C. (2013). Characteristics and macroeconomic determinants of youth employment in Africa. African Development Review, 25(2), 107–129.
Anyanwu, J. C. (2014). Does Intra-African trade reduce youth unemployment in Africa? African Development Review, 26(2).
Arent, S. (2012). Globalization and saving behavior of Pakistan: An empirical analysis. Pakistan Journal of Social Sciences (PJSS), 32(1), 77–91.
Banda, H., Ngirande, H., & Hogwe, F. (2016). The impact of economic growth on unemployment in South Africa: 1994-2012. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 13(2), 246–255.
Bayrak, R., & Tatli, H. (2018). The determinants of youth unemployment: A panel data analysis of OECD countries. European Journal of Comparative Economics, 15(2), 231–248.
Caporale, G. M., & Gil-Alana, L. (2014). Youth unemployment in Europe: Persistence and macroeconomic determinants. Comparative Economic Studies, 56(4), 581–591.
Carrère, C., Fugazza, M., Olarreaga, M., & Robert-Nicoud, F. (2020). Comparative advantage and equilibrium unemployment. European Economic Review, 127.
Cheng, C., & Mohamad, J. (2020). Youth Unemployment in Malaysia & the Region. Japan SPOTLIGHT, Special Ar (January / February 2), 49–53. Retrieved from https://www.isis.org.my/2020/01/10/youth-unemployment-in-malaysia-the-region/
Evelyn., D. (2006). Trade protection and employment in manufacturing: The case of Malaysia. Malaysian Journal of Economic Studie, 770562, 69–84.
Fugazza, M., Carrère, C., Olarreage, M., & Fréderic Robert, N. (2014). Trade in unemployment. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, 64, 38.
Fung, Y. V., & Nga, J. L. H. (2022). An investigation of economic growth, youth unemployment and inflation in ASEAN countries. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 12(1), 1731–1755.
Gujarati, D. N. (2004). Basic Econometrics (4th ed.). The McGraw-HiII Companies.
Harrison, A., & Revenga, A. L. (1998). Labor markets, foreign investment and trade policy reform. Trade Policy Reform: Lessons and Implications, January 1997. 296
Hasan, Z., & Sasana, H. (2020). Determinants of youth unemployment rate in Asean. International Journal of Scientific and Technology Research, 9(3), 6687–6691.
Hoxhaj, M. (2017). Youth unemployment in Albania, causes and consequences. EuroEconomica, 2(36), 159–168.
ILMIA. (2017). Youth unemployment. Institute of Labour Market Information and Analysis. Retrieved from https://www.ilmia.gov.my/index.php/en/dashboard-datamart/kilm/indicators/youth-unemployment
Lazim, M. A. (2020). Introductory business forecasting: A practical approach (3rd ed.). UiTM Press.
Michael, E., & Geetha, C. (2020). Macroeconimic factors that affecting youth unemployment in Malaysia. Malaysian Journal of Business and Economics (MJBE), 7(2), 181–205.
Mkombe, D., Tufa, A. H., Alene, A. D., Manda, J., Feleke, S., Abdoulaye, T., & Manyong, V. (2021). The effects of foreign direct investment on youth unemployment in the Southern African Development Community. Development Southern Africa, 38(6), 863–878.
Mody, A., Ohnsorge, F., & Sandri, D. (2012). Precautionary savings in the great recession. IMF Economic Review, 60(1), 114–138.
Monari, F. N., Tinega, R., & Agasa, L. O. (2020). Modelling economic determinants of youth unemployment using multiple linear regression: A case study of Kenya. International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, 5(6), 7–11.
Nasution, B. I., Br. Tarigan, A. C., & Siregar, S. I. (2021). Investment and unemployment reduction: An empirical study of Indonesia using panel data regression. Icaess 2020, 71–79.
Ni, T. V., Yusof, Z. M., Misiran, M., & Supadi, S. S. (2021). Assessing youth unemployment rate in Malaysia using multiple linear regression. Journal of Mathematics and Computing Science, 7(1), 23–34.
Ramudo, R. B., Grela, M. F., & Garcia, D. R. (2014). Consumption, investment and unemployment: Svar tests of the effects of changes in the consumption-saving pattern. Cogent Economics and Finance, 2(1).
Sköld, E., & Kaleb, T. (2020). The relationship between inflation and unemployment in Sweden. 1–33. Retrieved from https://www.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:1438547/FULLTEXT01.pdf
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Masturan Ma’in, Siti Sarah Mat Isa, Nur Fatihah Nabilah Mustaza, Nur Aina Athirah Mohd Johanis

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
