Does the Linder hypothesis hold? Recent Japanese case

Authors

  • Yutaka Kurihara Aichi University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14738/abr.99.10831

Keywords:

demand structure; income; Japan; Linder hypothesis.

Abstract

The theory of comparative advantage has for a long time played one of the most important roles among the theories of international economics. The theory says that a country has to specialize in producing and exporting goods and services that the country can produce at lower opportunity cost than other goods and services. Achieving this, both countries can benefit. The Linder hypothesis focuses on internal demand in a country. It states that the pattern of export goods is determined by internal demand structure. This study empirically analyzes this Linder hypothesis for the recent case of Japan. The Gravity model can be used to obtain theory-consistent estimates of the Linder hypothesis. This model can estimate bilateral international trade on the basis of cross-section data. The results show that the Linder effect has been holding well. Also, FTA (Free Trade Agreement) has been having positive impacts on international trade.

Author Biography

Yutaka Kurihara, Aichi University

Professor

References

Melitz, M. J., The Impact of trade on intra-industry relocations and aggregate industry productivity. Econometrica, 2003, 71(6): p.1695-1725.

Krugman, P., Scale economy, product differentiation, and the pattern of trade. American Economic Review, 1980, 70(5): p.950-959.

Linder, S. B., An essay on trade and transformation. 1961, John Wiley & Sons.

Kurihara, Y., Fukushima, A., Openness of the economy, diversification, specialization, and economic growth. Journal of Economics and Development Studies, 2016, 4(1): p.31-38. https://doi.org/10.15460/jeds.v4n.a3

Mitra, D., Trindale, V., Inequality and trade. Canadian Journal of Economics, 2013, 38: p.1253-1271.

Bergstrand, J. H., The Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson model, the Linder hypothesis and the determinants of bilateral intra-industry trade. Economic Journal, 1990, 100: p.1216-1229.

Kristensen, G., Zhang, J., The Linder effect in Trade blocks. Applied Economics Letters, 1998, 5(6): p.401-406. https://doi.org/10.1080.135048598354807

Tang, D., Economic integration among the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation countries: Linder effect on developed and developing countries (1985-1999). International Trade Journal, 2003, 17(1): p.19-49 https://doi.org/10.1080/088539000390152791

Eppinger, P. S., Felbermayr, G. J., Bilateral trade and similarity of income distribution: The role of second moments, Economics Letters, 2015, 126: p.159-162. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet2014.12.009

Thursby, J. G., Thursby, M. C., Bilateral trade flows, the Linder hypothesis, and exchange risk. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1987, 69(3): p.488-495.

Arnon, A., Weinblatt, J., Linder’s hypothesis revisited: Income similarity effects for low income countries. Applied Economic Letters, 1998, 5(10): p.607-611.

McPherson, M. A., Redfearn, M. R., Tieslau, M. A., A re-examination of the Linder hypothesis: A randomeffects Tobit approach. International Economic Journal, 2000, 14(3): p.123-136.

Choi, C., Linder Hypothesis Revisited, Applied Economics Letters, 2002, 9 (9): p. 601-605. https::doi.org/10.1080/13504850110111234

Baltagi, B. H., Egger, P., Pfaffermayr, M., A Generalized Design for Bilateral Trade Flow Models. Economics Letters, 2003, 80 (3): p. 391-397. 10.1016/50115-1765(03)00115-0

Caglayan-Akay, E., Oskonbaeva, Z., Empirical analysis of the Linder hypothesis: A random-effects Tobit model. Empirical Economics Letters, 2018, 17(1): p.87-97.

Ruh, A., Empirical analysis of the Linder hypothesis: The case of Germany’s trade within Europe. American Economist, 2010, 55(2): p.136-141. https://doi.org/10.1177/056443451005500214

Josic, H., Metelko, M., Testing the validity of the Linder hypothesis for Croatia. Croatian Review of Economics, Business and Social Statistics, 2018, 4(1): p.62-73.

Rasoulinezhad, E., Jabalameli, F., Do BRICs countries have similar trade integration patters? Journal of Economic Integration, 2018, 33(1): p.1011-1045. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2010.484000 Kurihara, Y. (2021). Does the Linder Hypothesis Hold? Recent Japanese Case. Archives of Business Research, 9(9). 69-75.

Haq, Z. U., Meilke, K. D., Does the Linder effect hold for differentiated agri-food and beverage product trade? Applied Economics, 2011, 43(25-27): p.4095-4109. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2010.484000

Fu, D., Chen, Y., Zhang, Y., Linder hypothesis revisited: Does it hold for services trade? Economics Letters, 2020, 109469. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109469

Kruse, H. W., Revisiting the sectoral Linder hypothesis: Aggregation bias or fixed costs? Review of International Economics, 2020, 28(4): p.1076-1112. https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12482

Hallak, J. C., A product-quality view of the Linder hypothesis. Review of Economics and Statistics, 2020, 92(3): p.453-466. https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00001

Fajgelbaum, P., Grossman, G., Helpman, E., Linder hypothesis for foreign direct investment, 2011, CEPR Discussion Papers, 8639.

Linnemann, H., An Econometric study of international trade flows, 1961, North-Holland.

Egger, P., Nigai, S., Structural gravity with dummies only: Constrained ANOVA-type estimation. Journal of International Economics, 2015, 97(1), p.81-99. https::doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.05.004

Yokov, Y., A simple solution to the distance puzzle in international trade, Economics Letters, 2012, 117(3): p.794-798. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2012.08.032

Cheng, L, Wall, H. J., Controlling for heterogeneity in gravity models of trade and integration. Federal Reserve Bank St. Louis Review, 2005, 87(1): p.49-63.

Agnosteva, D., Anderson, J. E., Yotov, Y. V., Intra-national trade costs: Measures and aggregation. NBER Working paper, 2014, 19872.

Kurihara, Y., Are RCEP and TPP effective? American International Journal of Contemporary Research, 2017, 7(3): p.102-108.

Baier, S. L., Bergstrand, J. H., Do free trade agreements actually increase members' international trade? Journal of International Economics, 2007, 71(1), p.72-85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinterco.2016.02.005

Downloads

Published

2021-09-15

How to Cite

Kurihara, Y. (2021). Does the Linder hypothesis hold? Recent Japanese case. Archives of Business Research, 9(9), 69–75. https://doi.org/10.14738/abr.99.10831

Most read articles by the same author(s)