Taxing in a Pandemic: An Assessment of the Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Tax Revenues and Revenues of Small and Medium Enterprises in Ghana.
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14738/abr.112.14083Keywords:
Covid-19, SMEs, Pandemic, Tax Revenues, Ghana, SME RevenuesAbstract
This study assessed the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on tax revenues and small and medium enterprise (SME) revenues in Ghana using qualitative and quantitative analysis. These impacts were analyzed using autoregressive tax regressions, buoyancy, and tax elasticity formulas. A simple radon sampling was used to select 350 SMEs in Ghana's five major cities. Findings set out point to "demand" as a critical factor influencing SMEs' sales and revenue with a rating of 5.3, a p-value less than the significance level of 0.05, and a deviation of 0.864, indicating the extent of the impact on tax revenue and sales of small and medium enterprises during a pandemic. In addition, a coefficient based on the ORL model application shows a value of 0.9565 in support of the econometric model used. The study also finds that tax revenue could drop by 8% and VAT revenue could drop by 1% or more. A tax buoyancy of 0.1% or 100% in forecasting tax revenue could be observed depending on the severity and impact of the pandemic. The findings show that tax revenue in a pandemic is adversely impacted, which requires logical and coordinated approaches to improve tax compliance.
References
OECD (2021), Tax Policy Reforms 2021: Special Edition on Tax Policy during the COVID-19 Pandemic, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/427d2616-en
OECD (2020). Global Revenue Statistics Database, http://www.oecd.org/tax/tax-policy/global-revenuestatistics-database.htm.
OECD (2021). Policy Responses to Coronavirus (COVID-19). Tax and fiscal policies after the COVID-19 crisis https://www.oecd.org/ctp/tax-policy/tax-and-fiscal-policy-in-response-to-the-coronavirus-crisisstrengthening-confidence-and-resilience.htm
Muqiao, Z. and Tamar, M. (2020). Tax authorities have a role to play in helping. SMEs Wither the COVID-19 crisis. World Bank.https://blogs.worldbank.org/psd/tax-authorities-have-role-play-helping-smesweather-covid-19-crisis
Bekoe, W., Danquah, M., & Senahey, S.K. (2016). Tax reforms and Revenue Mobilization in Ghana. Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 43 Iss. 4 pp. 522 - 534: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/JES-01-2015-00
Fagariba, C. J. and Yu Ping. (2016). Perceptions of Causes of SMEs and Traders Tax Evasion: A Case of Accra Metropolis, Ghana. Journal of Business & Economic Management, 4(2): pp 017-039, DOI: 10.15413/jbem.2016.0106
Kassa, E.T. (2021). Factors influencing taxpayers to engage in tax evasion: Evidence from Woldia City administration micro, small, and extensive enterprise Taxpayers. J Innov Entrep 10, 8. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13731-020-00142-4
Ntiamoah, J. A. & Asare, J. (2022). Economic versus Non-Economic Factors: Which is More Relevant to an Individual’s Tax Compliance Decisions in a Developing Economy? Universal Journal of Accounting and Finance, 10(1), 181- 190. DOI: 10.13189/ujaf.2022.100119.
Breton, A., & Wintrobe, R. (2008). The logic of bureaucratic conduct. Cambridge Books
Chhibber, A. (2000). Social Capital, the State, and Development Outcomes. In Dasgupta P., and Serageldin I. (Eds.), Social Capital: A Multifaceted Perspective (pp. 296–310). Washington, DC: The World Bank.
Feige, E. (1997). Underground Activity and Institutional Change: Productive, Protective, and Predatory Behavior in Transition Economies Megjelent: Nelson, JM–Tilly, Ch. Walker (szerk.): Transforming Postcommunist Political Economies.
Gërxhani, K. (2004). Tax Evasion in Transition: Outcome of an Institutional Clash? Testing Feige’s Conjecture in Albania. European Economic Review, 48, 729–745. 184
Kirchler, E., Hoelzl, E., & Wahl, I. (2008). Enforced versus voluntary tax compliance: The “slippery slope” framework. Journal of Economic Psychology, 29(2), 210–225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2007.05.004.
Brockmeyer, A., Estefan, A., Ramírez, K.A., and Suárez, S. C. J. (2022). Taxing Property in Developing Countries: Theory and Evidence from Mexico. National Bureau of Economic Research. Working Paper 28637 http://www.nber.org/papers/w28637
IMF Working Papers (2021). Corporate Liquidity and Solvency in Europe during COVID-19: The Role of Policies. WP/21/56. European Department. JEL Classification Numbers: C63, G21, G32. Accessed on 10/22/2022. At: file:///C:/Users/AsareJoseph/Downloads/wpiea2021056.pdf
Jörgen, L. (2022). After the pandemic - an opening for tax reforms: post-COVID taxation challenges across Africa. The Nordic Africa Institute, Research Unit. Series, NAI Policy Notes, ISSN 1654-6695
Ioana-Laura, T. (2022). The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tax revenues in the EU, Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 35:1, 2442- 2459, DOI: 10.1080 /1331677X .2021. 1954967
Sekiraqa, A., Sekiraça, E., Sekiraqa, V., & Ahmeti, S. (2021). The impact ofCOVID–19 on Collecting of Tax Revenues in Kosovo. SHS Web of Conferences 114, 01031. https://doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/202111401031
Deloitte, (2020). COVID–19, European measures. Version 3. Access on 10/20/2022: https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/at/Documents/Tax/at-covid-19-europeanmeasures-02-04.pdf
Andrews, D. et al. (2020), “The career effects of labour market conditions at Entry,” labour Productivity Working Papers, No. 20, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/29c11c75-en.
Guo, H. D., & Chen, C. (2021). Forecasting Revenue Impacts from COVID-19: The Case of Florida Municipalities. State and Local Government Review, 53(1), 78–88. https://doi.org/10.1177/0160323x21101205l
Eun-Joo, L. (2020). S. Korea’s Q1 tax revenue shrinks $6.9 bn, fiscal deficit hits a record high by MarchEun-Joo. Pulse by Maeil Business News Korea and mk. co. Kr.
Kreilinger, V. (2020). Tectonic shifts in the EU’s institutional system. LUISS School of Government Working Paper Series, (62).
Colin, C. W., and Aysegul, K. (2020). COVID-19 and undeclared work: impacts and policy responses in Europe, The Service Industries Journal, 40:13-14, 914- 931, DOI: 10.1080 /02642069 .2020.1757073.
Albina, S., Edona, S., Verona, S., and Skender, A. (2021). The impact of COVID– 19 on Collecting of Tax Revenues in Kosovo. SHS Web of Conferences 114, 0103. University of Prishtina, Agim Ramadani str., 10000 Prishtina, Kosovo. NTSSCEM 2021. https://doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/202111401031
Veuger, S., and Jeffrey C. (2020). Implications of the COVID-19 pandemic for state government tax revenues. National Tax Journal. Vol. 73 No. 3: pp 619–44.
IMF (2020). Challenges in forecasting tax revenue. Fiscal Affairs. Accessed 10/25/2022. At: https://www.imf.org/*/media/Files/Publications/covid19-special- notes/en-special-series-uncover-19-challenges-in-forecasting-tax-revenue
Mikesell, J. L. (2018). Often wrong, never uncertain: Lessons from 40 years of state revenue forecasting. Public Administration Review, 78(5), 795-802. 185
Taherdoost, H. (2016). Sampling Methods in Research Methodology; How to Choose a Sampling Technique for Research. International Journal of Academic Research in Management (IJARM), Vol. 5, No. 2, pp.18-27, ISSN: 2296-1747 https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3205035
Oppong, M., Owiredu, A., and Quarmyne, R C. (2014). Micro and Small Scale enterprises development in Ghana. European Journal of Accounting Auditing and Finance Research. Vol.2, No.6, pp. 84-97.
Ghana Enterprises Agency (2021). Micro and Small-Scale Enterprises Classifications Regulations. Accessed on 10/20/2022. At: https://www.bcp.gov.gh/acc/consultation/docs/MSME%20Classification%20Regulations%202021.pdf
Hannon, A., Leahy, E., O'Sullivan, R. (2016). An analysis of tax forecasting errors in Ireland. The Economic and Social Review, Vol. 47, No.3, pp. 391–423.
Leal, T., Pérez, J. J., Tujula, M., & Vidal, J. P. (2008). Fiscal Forecasting: Lessons from the Literature and Challenges. Fiscal Studies, 29(3), 347–386. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-5890.2008.00078.x
Zhao, Y. (2020). COVID-19 as a catalyst for educational change. Prospects, 49(1-2), 29-33.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Jones Adjei Ntiamoah, Joseph Asare, Peter Arhenful, Michael Nana Owusu-Akomeah

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.